As we begin 2025, the future of the solar industry looks brighter than ever – though there appear to be reasons for concern. Due to a global push for clean, renewable energy, the industry has seen continued growth, with an average annual growth rate of 26% over the past decade. Today, over 5 million homes across the United States are powered by solar systems. By 2030, estimates predict that figure to double to 10 million. With solar power predicted to be the leading source of new electricity generation in the United States, it’s no wonder that the future is looking good for the solar industry. However, some challenges still remain, and with a new administration taking office later this month, it’s hard to know exactly how things might play out.
Let’s take a look at the current state of the industry, and peer into the future to see what’s in store for 2025 and beyond.
While going solar is by no means cheap, it continues to become more affordable as the prices of panels, batteries, and other equipment have continued to drop. Additionally, a range of federal and state incentives, including the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) and Self-Generation Incentive Program (SGIP) continue to offer significant benefits for installing clean energy systems including solar panels and battery storage systems. The ITC, for example, offers a 30% tax credit for residential solar installations. Additionally, home batteries and other advancements in technology, including smart inverters and meter collars from major brands like Tesla, continue to improve our ability to optimize our solar power and maximize our financial savings.
It should also be noted that as solar becomes more affordable, utility rates continue to rise. Even if the costs of solar remained steady, they would continue to look better as utility rates climbed year after year. While the upfront price tag of solar may seem intimidating at first, it’s undeniably a smarter long-term financial investment—one that’s only expected to become even more affordable in the future.
In addition to the surge in residential solar adoption, commercial solar is experiencing significant growth as companies wise up to the benefits of clean energy. Major corporations such as Meta, Amazon, Apple, Walmart, Microsoft, Costco, and Target have made substantial investments in solar energy, underscoring a corporate shift towards sustainability.
The Inflation Reduction Act, passed by the Biden administration in 2022, has played a pivotal role in this upward trend of solar adoption. It offers up to 40% tax incentives for commercial solar projects, motivating these companies and others to invest in renewable energy solutions.
As a new administration prepares to take charge for the next four years, the future of the Inflation Reduction Act looks a bit murky. However, there’s no question that major corporations are investing majorly in the future of solar. Regardless of what the next administration does, this will only help to strengthen the solar industry.
The future of solar energy remains promising, but challenges persist as the industry continues to grow. A major driving force behind solar adoption is the steady rise in residential electricity rates, which are expected to keep climbing year after year. However, despite falling prices for solar panels, manufacturing and installation costs remain significant, and supply chain disruptions could impact prices and installation timelines across the country.
Grid integration also presents challenges as solar energy adoption spreads. Some states, such as California with its NEM 3.0 policy, are already revisiting net metering programs, potentially reducing financial benefits for homeowners who install solar systems.
Despite some of these concerns, the future of the solar industry remains bright. New jobs continue to be created, and as the industry grows, we continue to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels, strengthening America’s clean energy future. Experts predict solar power generation in the U.S. will continue to grow during 2025, underscoring the technology’s rapid expansion and its critical role in achieving energy independence and sustainability goals.
As we move into 2025 and beyond, the solar industry’s potential remains bright, driven by innovation, policy support, and a growing commitment to clean energy solutions.
A new and innovative option has emerged in recent years for households and small businesses that cannot install solar panels on their rooftops: community solar. Instead of installing their own systems, they can subscribe to a large solar array that is located nearby, often on open land or on rooftops of local buildings, and receive credits on their utility bills. This setup allows for homeowners and businesses to benefit from solar energy without having to install solar panels on their roofs. Community solar could potentially serve over 50 million homes, as well as over 300,000 businesses, that would not otherwise be able to install rooftop solar systems.
After Donald Trump was elected in November, many have wondered how the new administration will affect the solar industry. Over the past 4 years, President Biden invested heavily in renewable energy. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 established tax credits and loans to prop up solar installations. By 2023, solar production in the United States had hit record highs.
Questions remain about how the incoming administration may affect the booming solar industry. They may pull back many of the policies, including tax incentives, that the previous administration put in place. Additionally, tariffs on imported goods may increase the costs associated with going solar.
However, despite what the administration may do, many within the solar industry believe that it is strong enough to withstand any policy changes that are put in place. It’s also worth noting that President Trump was surprisingly solar friendly during his first term, and the industry has only grown stronger since then: both domestic solar manufacturing and local demand have gone up, while installation costs have gone down.
This all leads to a strong belief that the solar industry will continue to thrive, even if the new administration repeals some of the policies of the Biden administration.
The United States, along with the rest of the world, continues moving toward a clean energy future. Despite some hiccups, this trend should continue into 2025 and beyond. We’ll keep saying it: going solar remains the right decision, both financially and environmentally. Continuing to invest in solar energy will help create jobs, reduce emissions, and help homeowners become independent and create their own affordable energy. If you’re interested in starting your own solar journey, get in touch with us today.